Markets have spent months assuming the Federal Reserve would keep trimming borrowing costs at a steady clip, but the odds for ...

Morgan Stanley imagines scenarios in which the path of fed funds is even more dovish than currently projected The U.S. Federal Reserve may cut rates even more sharply than the market currently assumes ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Zero Lower Bound Probabilities at Different Time Horizons is a daily measure of the likelihood that future short-term interest rates will ...