Dec 31, 2025 · (Probably!) Here is the second part of our year's end Over/Under contest. Read the full analysis → 338 Sunday Update: Final 2025 Polls Show Cracks in Liberal Support …

Find the latest Canada polls and electoral projections on 338Canada.

Jul 16, 2023 · 338Canada is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data.

5 days ago · likely likely Majority: 172 seats 1. Cape Spear LPC safe CAPSP 2. Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe ACABA 3. Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe WISOC 4. Orléans LPC safe ORLEA 5. …

Complete map of latest 338Canada Electoral Projection Last update: January 4, 2026

338Canada is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This website is the creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and …

For more information of the 338 Ratings of Canadian Pollsters, visit this page. Here is the basic equation: The gamma exponent is usually ½ (hence, the square root of the sample size). The …

5 days ago · Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

May 4, 2020 · This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of …

BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN Voting intentions % 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026 2026-01-01 …